This study evaluates the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model’s ability to simulate summer urban heat island (UHI) effects across the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) using a simple bulk urban parameterization. WRF downscales ERA-Interim reanalysis data at 16 km and nested 4 km resolutions for 2000–2002. Model biases show overestimation of maximum air temperatures (+1–2°C) and underestimation of minimums (−1–2°C) against ERA5-Land, with larger land surface biases, though 16 km performs better than 4 km when validated against station and satellite observations (possibly due to the lack of model physics optimization in the highest resolution). Detailed analysis for Cairo reveals nighttime
air/surface UHIs of 3–5°C and daytime surface cool islands of 5–10°C, driven by urban-rural contrasts in albedo, soil moisture, and heat storage. Averaged across 11 EMME cities, results indicate stronger nighttime surface UHIs (5–6°C) than air UHIs (3–4°C), with pronounced daytime surface cool islands (−12.5°C) and minor canopy heat islands (1–1.5°C). The results indicate the suitability of the simple urban model treatment for multi-city regional climate change assessments in the EMME region.
By submitting this subscription form you agree to receive news and updates about EMME-CARE and CARE-C via the email you provided, in accordance with our Privacy Policy which provides information about how we use and process your data. We use Mailchimp as our marketing platform.
By clicking subscribe, you acknowledge that your information will be transferred to Mailchimp for processing. Learn more about Mailchimp’s privacy practices here. If you change your mind, you can unsubscribe at any time by clicking the unsubscribe link in the emails you receive from us or by contacting us at communication.care-c@cyi.ac.cy